Assessing Trade Policy Risks for Agriculture

Article Three was commissioned by the Federal Department of Agriculture and Water Resources to assess the risks and opportunities for key Australian commodity exports of the growing trade tensions and ‘tariff wars’ between the US and China. The US-China tension – referred to as the ‘Trade Wars’ – was a major source of uncertainty for Australian agricultural exporters under the Trump Administration.

Article Three undertook a comprehensive analysis of Australia’s agricultural exports, major markets, major competitors and market access advantages including across trade agreements.

A risk-based projection of the impact of ongoing trade tension for all major agricultural commodities was evaluated over the short, medium and long term.